From the initiative of the territory to a measurable result. Indicators of state projects, the model of constant interaction and scenarios for the development of cooperation until 2030.
State systemsObjectives · rules · measures · evaluation
↓ CONDITIONS AND INDICATORS ↑ REPORTING
02
The cooperative and partnersInitiatives · resources · execution
↓ RESULTS ↑ NEEDS
03
People and territoryBenefit · verification · a new request
Proposed organizational model. The next cycle begins with a result check.
20National projects in the catalog
53Key targets
7Stages of interaction
2030Scenario Horizon
Shared goals. Joint action.Artistic image
01 / Official benchmarks
Key indicators on National Projects
Public targets for 2030 with units, comparison baselines and primary sources. This is a selection of key benchmarks, not the complete profile of each project.
Target — the planned valueActual result — a separate reporting periodScenario — a calculation based on assumptions
In April 2026, the Government listed 20 national projects, including 9 technological leadership projects. The initial list in 2025 contained 19. The bioeconomy project is included here. Confirmation of composition ↗ National projects and SPECZASHCHITA member programmes have different lists and statuses.
Projects shown: 20 of 20
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75% and 45% are given as benchmarks from the Ministry of Education’s official announcement of 18.03.2025; they do not replace the exact project-profile values of 75,1% and 45,8%, which require a separate reference to the profile.
103,4% is the value of a specific indicator, not a 103,4% reduction in the workforce shortage or a simple increase in employment. The methodology compares actual employment with potential employment at baseline age-specific employment rates. No base year has been assumed: the overview card does not specify one.
The retraining plan through the end of 2030 was clarified in the Ministry of Labour report of 13.03.2026: around 700 thousand people; at least 104 thousand are separately provided for in 2026.
The source establishes the parameters of the Environmental Well-being national goal and their connection to the outcomes of the national project of the same name; the three indicators are not actual recycling figures.
The link to a specific state programme and the participation procedure are to be clarified in the activity profile. Thematic alignment does not confirm funding.
The link to a specific state programme and the participation procedure are to be clarified in the activity profile. Thematic alignment does not confirm funding.
10 / People, environment and economy
Data Economy and Digital Transformation of the State
97%
Households able to access high-quality, high-speed broadband internet
The link to a specific state programme and the participation procedure are to be clarified in the activity profile. Thematic alignment does not confirm funding.
13 / Technology
New Materials and Chemistry
100%
Level of technological independence for new materials and chemistry
The link to a specific state programme and the participation procedure are to be clarified in the activity profile. Thematic alignment does not confirm funding.
14 / Technology
Industrial provision of transport mobility
50%
Technological sovereignty in aircraft manufacturing
The link to a specific state programme and the participation procedure are to be clarified in the activity profile. Thematic alignment does not confirm funding.
15 / Technology
New Health Saving Technologies
40%
Russian medical devices as a share of the total market
The link to a specific state programme and the participation procedure are to be clarified in the activity profile. Thematic alignment does not confirm funding.
17 / Technology
Unmanned aircraft systems
70,3%
Russian UAS in the total volume of the Russian market
The link to a specific state programme and the participation procedure are to be clarified in the activity profile. Thematic alignment does not confirm funding.
18 / Technology
New nuclear and energy technologies
67%
Technological independence in the creation of new nuclear technologies
The link to a specific state programme and the participation procedure are to be clarified in the activity profile. Thematic alignment does not confirm funding.
19 / Technology
Development of the Russian Federation’s space activities through 2030, with an outlook to 2036
2times
Labor productivity in the space industry
Target by 2030 · doubling; the public statement does not identify the base year
The link to a specific state programme and the participation procedure are to be clarified in the activity profile. Thematic alignment does not confirm funding.
20 / Technology
Technological support of bioeconomy
96%
Bioeconomy output
Target by 2030 · increase; the publication does not identify the base year
The link to a specific state programme and the participation procedure are to be clarified in the activity profile. Thematic alignment does not confirm funding.
02 / Connections between instruments
The national project sets the result. A state programme connects activities and resources.
One national project may affect several state programs. Below are links confirmed by official publications; types of links are specified in each line.
Confirmed examples, not an exhaustive budget classification.
The federal project "Labor Market Management"; the work of employment services and the results of employment are taken into account according to the established methods.
The scheme of territorial planning takes into account the state program and both national projects. This is a planning relationship; the composition of budget funding is determined by individual decisions.
The connection is through supplementary education: the approved Concept for the Development of Supplementary Education through 2030 takes account of the Education Development state programme and the Youth and Children national project profile. Since 2025, the indicator for children’s participation in supplementary education has belonged to the All the Best for Children federal project. This confirms a shared direction, not a claim that the entire national project falls exclusively within this state programme.
The approved methodology for the indicator “Share of information accessible to the public in the main areas of environmental monitoring” (П02752-Ч4) explicitly links it to the Environmental Well-being national project, the Clean Air federal project and the Environmental Protection state programme, approved by Russian Government Resolution No. 326 of 15.04.2014.
The methodology for the tourism services export indicator is used directly to monitor the Tourism and Hospitality national project and the Tourism Development state programme (Russian Government Resolution No. 2439 of 24.12.2021). The indicator is a shared benchmark; its values for the national project and state programme must not be added together.
3 times - Growth in the volume of exports of tourist services relative to 2023; target 2030.
The federal budget law provides for additional funds to be allocated by government decision to activities of the national project “Data Economy and Digital Transformation of the State” and the state programme “Information Society”. This is a direct funding link, not an automatic entitlement to support for an organization.
For a specific initiative, the next step is to identify the support measure’s current procedure, eligible applicants, the organiser and the application deadline. Alignment with a national goal does not by itself establish eligibility for funding.
03 / Proposed work model
Continuous interaction through a single project cycle
Each stage identifies a responsible person, a document and a condition for moving forward. If there is a deviation, the project returns for revision; confirmed results become input data for the next cycle.
Stage 1 / Proposed model
Initiative
Describe the needs of the territory, participants, resources and expected benefits.
Responsible person
cooperative members and the proponent
Document and transition condition
An initiative profile. A responsible person and primary data are identified.
Feedback
If the need is not confirmed, clarify with the recipients of the result.
Stage 2 / Proposed model
Conformity check
Match the project to a specific support measure and eligible recipients; check the legal form, registers, rights and deadlines.
Responsible person
Project team and specialist adviser
Document and transition condition
Requirements matrix with references to sources. Requirements are met or a list of improvements is revealed.
Feedback
Replace an unsuitable support measure; do not substitute the project’s theme for the applicant’s status.
Stage 3 / Proposed model
Project profile
Record budget, timelines, roles, baseline, targets and confirmation method.
Responsible person
Co-operative, initiator and agreed partners
Document and transition condition
A version of the profile and a decision by the cooperative’s governing bodies. A verifiable result, resources and authority are identified.
Feedback
When changes are made, save the version history and renegotiate the obligations.
Stage 4 / Proposed model
Selection or contract
Submit documents in the prescribed way; undergo the prescribed procedure; document the official decision and obligations.
Responsible person
Authorised operator of the support measure / client
Document and transition condition
Application, decision, agreement or contract. There is a legal basis for execution.
Feedback
Review the reasons for rejection; resubmit only under the current rules.
Stage 5 / Proposed model
Implementation
Perform work, keep separate records where it is required, control the schedule, budget and risks.
Responsible person
Project team, contractors and partners
Document and transition condition
A schedule, primary documents and formal records. Work and expenditure are substantiated.
Feedback
Resolve and document deviations under the terms of the contract.
Stage 6 / Proposed model
Confirmation of indicators
Compare actual results with the baseline and target using the established methodology; eliminate double counting.
Responsible person
Person responsible for data and the accepting party
Document and transition condition
A report, verification report and evidence package. The result is accepted or returned for correction.
Feedback
Return missing evidence and non-conformities for further work.
Stage 7 / Proposed model
Feedback and new cycle
Evaluate utility, operation and lessons; update portfolio, methodology and scenarios.
Responsible person
cooperative members, recipients and agreed partners
Document and transition condition
Public summary and protocol of adjustments. The following initiative takes into account confirmed experience.
Feedback
The cycle returns to need, preserving documents and decision history.
Proposed review schedule
Event-based
Register an initiative, change of requirements, application, decision, payment or formal record; save the source, date and version.
Weekly
Check application deadlines, team tasks and risks; clarify who is responsible.
Monthly
Check the budget, actual work and data on indicators; prepare a report for participants.
Quarterly
Review the portfolio and scenarios with partners, if appropriate interaction is agreed; publish verifiable results.
Mandatory reporting is submitted within the time limits established by the rules of the measure and the contract. This internal rhythm does not replace them.
How the model becomes a working system. Responsible people are appointed, a data-exchange procedure is agreed, the project profile is approved, and the grounds for accessing each external system are checked. This page contains a model and calculation tools; it does not submit applications to government systems.
Participation routes and conditions
Non-profit consumer cooperative
First, the objectives stated in the Charter, the applicant’s authority and legal form are confirmed. For SME support measures, the entry in the Unified SME Register and the criteria of the specific selection process are checked separately. Nonprofit status does not automatically confer socially oriented nonprofit organisation (SONKO) status or access to grants for SONKOs.
A current extract from the Unified State Register of Legal Entities (EGRUL) and the Charter
Decision of the authorized body of the cooperative
Information on the SME registry, if the measure requires this status
Selection conditions and list of eligible recipients
Specialised agricultural support measures are considered only for an applicant that meets the established requirements. Activity profile, registration, participants, costs and indicators are checked under the regional procedure. SPECZASHCHITA is not deemed an agricultural cooperative because of a project’s theme; any potential partnership is formalised separately.
Documents of the relevant agricultural cooperative
Development project and co-financing sources
Confirmation of allowable costs
The regional procedure and current selection announcement
The project can search for the customer through the applicable procurement procedure. Participation is subject to notice requirements, licenses and qualifications, security and other conditions. The contract and subsidy are different grounds: the package of documents and reporting are determined by the selected procedure.
Notification and requirements for the participant
Technical offer and price calculation
Licenses, experience and security when required
Contract, performance certificates and confirmation of results
For a territorial development project, the need, land and property rights, public benefit and competent authority are agreed first. A letter of support or meeting minutes records the discussion; obligations and funding arise from decisions and agreements provided for by law.
Description of the needs of residents and territories
Actual data · Monthly budget statement expenditures
32,6 billion ₽
Regional example: expenditure on national projects
Of this, 21,6 billion ₽ is federal funding Saratov Region, 2025; reporting as of 01.01.2026
An example of the connection between federal and regional levels. This is not a national total; do not add it to the federal figure because of transfers.
The result of the project should be distinguished from the budget execution
Cash expenditure on national projects as of 1 September 2026 shows the movement of funds over eight months. It does not measure the share of completed facilities or public impact. A cooperative project needs financial data, formal records and separate result indicators together.
The number of potential partners is growing, but access to support is determined case by case
The FTS recorded an increase in the number of SMEs in the July period. For a cooperative, this extends the search for suppliers and partners; the right to a particular measure is established separately. The registration status should be checked before each application.
Scenarios must account for deadlines and productivity
Rosstat’s second estimate shows real GDP growth of 1,0% in 2025. This aggregate figure cannot determine the future income of an individual project. A practical approach is to check productivity, stability of demand, operating costs and scheduling contingency using the project’s own data.
Agricultural projects need a route through a specific regional procedure
The example of the Development of Small Agribusiness federal project and a regional selection process shows the sequence: an eligible applicant, eligible costs, an application deadline and verifiable results. A publication about a support measure is a basis for checking conditions, not a promise of funding.
In the proposed model, it is useful to track how many initiatives qualify, receive a decision through the prescribed procedure, and end with evidence. The scenario calculator shows the sensitivity of the overall result to each stage; the actual coefficients will appear only after taking into account the real portfolio.
Author's organizational hypothesis
05 / Scenarios 2027–2030
How the result changes, If the conditions change
The conditional annual flow of initiatives goes through three stages: compliance testing, selection and completion. Change the assumptions to see the sensitivity of the result.
A SPECZASHCHITA calculation model for discussing how work is organised. The proportions are illustrative; they are not estimated from the cooperative’s success statistics and do not constitute an official forecast. National indicators from the catalogue are not inputs to this calculation.
Scenario Settings
Cumulative result by the end of 2030
153
Calculated equivalent of completed initiatives. The total number of initiatives started over four years is 400 initiatives.
38,252027
76,52028
114,752029
153,02030
In one year: 38,3. The fractional value is the result of the model, not a report on the number of real projects.
100 × 75% × 60% × 85% × 4 = 153
Comparison of illustrative scenarios at the selected number of new initiatives per year. Each transition’s percentage is calculated from the preceding stage.
Scenario
Qualification
Selection
Completion
By 2030
Limited Poorly prepared profiles, limited throughput and significant implementation risks.
60%
40%
75%
72
Working Standardised profiles, regular checks of conditions and monthly implementation reviews.
75%
60%
85%
153,0
Agreed Well-prepared documentation and resources, pre-agreed roles and verification of results.
90%
75%
90%
243,0
Assumptions and limits of calculation
The period is four full years: 2027, 2028, 2029 and 2030. The annual flow and percentages of transitions are constant.
Selection applies to initiatives that passed the check, and completion to those selected. Completion in the same year is assumed; multi-year projects require a different model.
Budget, staffing, competitive selection limits, delays and differences between territories are not modelled here.
The results are displayed rounded to one decimal place; intermediate calculations are not rounded.
The model does not estimate profitability, the probability of receiving funding or the completion percentage of a national project. After a pilot, the illustrative coefficients should be replaced with actual ones.
Forecast hypotheses by area
Author's conditional conclusions on the horizon 2027–2030. Their confirmation requires regional data, requests of recipients and decisions of partners.
While maintaining the policy of waste sorting and regional infrastructure development, the need for local logistics, separate collection and education may grow.
Confirmed volumes of waste transfer to a licensed operator; infrastructure loading.
Lack of capacity, change of tariffs and lack of contract with the operator.
Targets come from public official materials; deadlines, units and source dates are shown alongside them where available. Missing dates or baselines have not been replaced by assumptions. When applying, the current profile, support procedure and specific announcement take priority.
Actual figures are given only for the labelled reporting periods. Budget expenditure does not equal achievement of a social outcome. Regional spending that includes federal transfers is not added to the federal total.
Sources for this edition checked on 01.10.2026. There is no automatic synchronisation with government registers. The proposal is to update the overview after new data are published and keep a change log with the date, link and responsible person.
