strategija-rd-2025Daghestan

The Government of the Republic of Dagestan

Project

Ministry of Economy of the Republic of Dagestan

Strategy of social and economic development of the Republic of Dagestan up to 2025

Government of the Republic of Dagestan, AV Investment Consulting Company LLC, 2011

This presentation was developed by AV Investment Consulting Company LLC and no part of it can be reproduced or transmitted in any form and by any means, whether electronic or mechanical, including photocopying and recording on magnetic media, unless it is authorized in writing by the Government of the Republic of Dagestan, AV Investment Consulting Company LLC.

Strategic consultant of the project:

Development strategy of the Republic of Dagestan up to 2025

Strategic pyramid - AV approach

External diagnostics

Internal diagnostics

Strategic doctrine

Real sector development programme

Development Program "Future Economy"

Development strategy of key clusters and complexes

Social development programme

Territorial development strategy

Development projects "economy of the future" (from 15)

Source: AV

Projects for the development of the real sector of the economy (from 30)

Social development projects (from 15)

The development strategy is developed in the form of a single multi-level document:

1. Diagnosis: 1990-2008, with an estimate

2010

2. Strategic doctrine:

Long-term plan up to 2025

3. Development programmes: medium-term

plans up to 2020

4. Mechanisms (measures system): portfolio

priority investment projects (from 60 units) and mechanisms for implementing the strategy at the level of key clusters and complexes, as well as territories.

Period of work: 9 months (4 sq. 2010 )

2 sq. 2011.

Form of work: joint

work of the working group (representatives of state and municipal authorities, business, science and public organizations) and strategic consultants.

The methodological basis of the Strategy is the consideration of the socio-economic system of the Republic of Dagestan in the context of 7 complexes.

Matrix: economic complexes - elements of strategy

Diagnostics

Doctrine

Mechanisms (measure system)

Trade, transport and logistics complex

Industrial complex

Agro-industrial complex

Construction complex

Fuel and energy complex

Socio-innovative complex

Tourist and recreational complex

Source: AV

The Republic of Dagestan occupies the area of the Eastern Caucasus, located on the north-eastern slope of the Greater Caucasus and the south-west of the Caspian lowlands.

Geographical location of the Republic of Dagestan

The Republic of Dagestan is the largest republic

North Caucasus: ? ?

the Square 50,3 Thousands of square kilometres from north to south – 420 km, from west to east – 216 km average height above sea level – 1 thousand m highest point - g. Bazarduzi (4466 m)

 

> Internal Russian borders: > Republic of Kalmykia > Stavropol Krai > Chechen Republic

Foreign Russian land borders:

The Republic of Azerbaijan

Georgia

?Foreign Russian Maritime Borders: ?Azerbaijan Republic?Kazakhstan Republic?Islamic Republic of Iran?

Turkmenistan

Source: Economic Encyclopedia of Russian Regions. Republic of Dagestan

Currently, the Republic of Dagestan is facing long-term systemic challenges, reflecting both Russian and global trends and internal barriers to development.

Strategic challenges

Increased global competition against the background of the formation of new growth points

World Economy "BRIC+11" with an emphasis on the special role of Asia and integration opportunities of the Republic of Dagestan.

Strengthening the role of the federal center and competition between subjects

Russian Federation. Creation of the North Caucasus Federal District.

The increasing role of human capital, innovation and modernization as the main factors of economic development, while reducing the influence of many traditional growth factors.

Exhaustion of the potential of the resource model of economic development,

based on pre-industrial industries and emphasis on the low cost of production factors - labor, fuel, electricity.

Source: AV

The Republic of Dagestan-2010 is a unique geostrategic location, a compact combination of sea, plains, foothills and mountains, saturated with natural resources of development and a growing, healthy population with leadership ambitions.

Competitive advantages of the Republic of Dagestan

1. Unique geostrategic position * (crossing trade and transport

logistics flows, sea and land state border).

2. Compact combination of sea*, plains, foothills and mountains saturated

natural resources for development.

3. Human Resources: A Growing, Healthy Population with Leadership

Ambition.

The exclusive competitive advantages of the Republic of Dagestan are:

A unique geostrategic position.

The presence of the sea.

Source: AV

Republic of Dagestan-2025 - dynamically developing subject of Russia, represented by competitive post-industrial clusters "Caspian HAB" and "House of Peoples"

Vision of the future

The Republic of Dagestan is a subject of Russia with high growth rates

Economic development and quality of life, the axial region of geopolitics and trade and economic integration in the South of Russia.

Republic of Dagestan - competitive cluster "Caspian HAB"

Synergy of international flows and industrial and innovative complexes that produce and process high-value-added products in high demand, including export.

The Republic of Dagestan - competitive cluster "House of Peoples" - a comfortable place for life, work and creativity, recreation and sports.

Hub (English hub, literally - wheel hub, center) - a large interchange and transshipment transport hub with the necessary set of services, having a suitable geographical location

Source: AV

Republic of Dagestan - competitive cluster "Caspian HAB" - synergy of international flows and industrial and innovative complexes producing and processing high value-added products, which are in high demand, including export

Elements of the cluster "Caspian HAB"

A well-developed trade, transport and logistics complex based on

redistribution of the main flows of Southeast and Central Asia, the Middle East and Europe, which creates special conditions for the passage of commodity flows through Russia and the possibility of their multiplication and accumulation.

Developed industrial complex based on production

innovative products.

Developed agro-industrial complex based on production

environmentally friendly products.

A well-developed construction complex that ensures the development of all

economic complexes and improvement of living conditions, tourism and recreation.

- Developed fuel and energy complex, which provides a growing demand for energy resources, which determines a special place for alternative energy.

Source: AV

The Republic of Dagestan is a competitive cluster "House of Peoples" - a comfortable place for life, work and creativity, recreation and sports

Elements of the "House of Peoples" cluster

A well-developed social and innovation complex based on

high-quality social services, knowledge and technology economy, developed innovation system.

Developed tourist and recreational complex (sea and mountain)

international resort with developed medical and health and scientific and cognitive components, which has the infrastructure that allows the Republic of Dagestan to become a business center of the Caspian region).

“Bet on growth” of the quality of human capital.

Source: AV

The main strategic goal is to increase the quality of life of the population based on increasing the competitiveness of the region, sustainable economic development and security.

The implementation of the main strategic goal will allow to achieve the level of economic and social development corresponding to the status of the Republic of Dagestan as an advanced subject of the Russian Federation of the XXI century. In 2020-2025, the republic should enter the top twenty subjects-leaders in terms of gross regional product and human development index.

Strategic objectives

Economic development - sustainable economic growth and provision

competitiveness based on the synergy of international flows and industrial and innovative complexes.

Social and innovative development - creation of complex conditions for a prosperous and safe life, work and creativity, recreation and sports of a person.

Spatial development - balanced spatial development and integration into the interregional and international socio-economic space.

Institutional development - creation of a competitive institutional

An environment conducive to balanced sustainable development.

Source: AV

The implementation of strategic goals is interconnected and largely depends on the creation of a highly competitive institutional environment.

Strategic objectives

Economic development - sustainable economic growth and ensuring competitiveness based on the synergy of international flows and industrial innovation complexes

SOCIAL AND INNOVATIVE DEVELOPMENT - creation of complex conditions for a prosperous and safe life, work and creativity, recreation and sports of a person

SPACE DEVELOPMENT - balanced spatial development and integration into interregional and international socio-economic space

INSTITUTIONAL DEVELOPMENT - creating a competitive institutional environment that promotes balanced sustainable development

Source: AV

Benchmarks 2025

Gross regional product – 1,059 trillion rub.

Level of the region 20-ki 2025 c. from above 1 trillion rub.

Human Development Index - 0,887.

The level of the region 20-ki 2025 - over - 0,850.

According to the optimistic development scenario (in assessing the dynamics of development of the leading regions, forecasts of the development of the subjects of the Russian Federation up to 2025 were applied.

Source: AV

Achieving the level of economic and social development corresponding to the status of the Republic of Dagestan as an advanced subject of the Russian Federation XXI centuries, possibly as a result of multi-level modernization

The development of the Republic of Dagestan in 2011-2025 will take place in four stages

The first stage (2011-2012) is based on the implementation and expansion of those competitive

advantages that the economy of the Republic of Dagestan has in traditional areas in order to increase the efficiency of the resource economy and form the prerequisites for a sustainable industrial development model. At this stage, the foundations of institutional development will be laid. It will be necessary to implement a “set of tough measures”: legalization of business, increasing the level of security.

The second stage (2013-2015) is based on the formation of a sustainable industrial model

development and creation of prerequisites for post-industrial development. Institutional conditions and technological groundwork will be created to ensure a systemic transfer of the economy to the post-industrial (innovative) development mode at the next stage.

The third stage (2016 - 2020) - a breakthrough in improving the competitiveness of the economy on the basis of

its transition to a new post-industrial model of development, improving the quality of human potential and the social environment, structural diversification of the economy.

The fourth stage (2021-2025 and beyond) will be aimed at consolidating the post-industrial model of development and achieving the position of the leader on the basis of transforming innovation into a leading factor of economic growth, the formation of a balanced social structure of society. The accumulated potential of knowledge and capital, corresponding to advanced economies, will determine the preservation of trends of sustainable socio-economic development of the Republic of Dagestan based on the innovative “economy of the future” (having a powerful service sector) as the main driving force of economic growth.

Source: AV

The implementation of the Strategy will ensure the Republic of Dagestan to achieve the following indicators

Basic economic indicators for the implementation of the Scenario Strategy

Indicator

Inerz.

Basic

Optimum.

Population (2025), thousand people

GRP (2025), million rubles

GRP per capita (2025), ths rubles

Increase in GRP (2025 to 2008 g.), million rubles.

Growth rate of GRP (average annual) (2025), %

3 008

692 394

230

481 134

5,9

3 008

875 674

291

664 414

6,6

3 008

1 059 938

352

848 678

7,1

The average annual funding from all sources (for 2011-2025 years), million rubles.

100 784

137 368

174 486

Tax deductions to budgets of all levels (2025), million rubles.

81 504

104 358

129 062

Increase in tax revenues to budgets of all levels (2025 to 2008), mln. rub.

65 253

88 107

112 811

Revenues of the consolidated budget of the RD per capita (2025), thousand rubles.

Budget subsidies (2025), %

The average annual number of employed in the economy, related to economic complexes (2025), people.

The number of employed in the economy (including those not related to economic complexes) (2025), thousand people. The number of jobs created (2025 to 2008), people.

Labor productivity (2025), million rubles.

Labor productivity (according to DS) (2025), million rubles.

Unemployment rate (2025), %

Average salary (2025), thousand rubles.

Proportion of population with incomes below the subsistence minimum (2025), %

Source: AV

32,5

41,3

47,8

1 116 332

1 174 186

1 266 393

1 328

178 032

0,995

0,620

10,1

21,9

8,3

1 344

235 886

1,194

0,746

9,0

25,9

6,9

1 374

328 093

1,351

0,837

7,0

34,8

5,8

Development and restructuring of the economy of the Republic of Dagestan

Main economic indicators - 2008

Main economic indicators - 2025

* tax payments to the budget system of the Russian Federation, directly related to types of economic activity

agro-industrial complex; PC - industrial complex; Fuel and energy complex; SK - construction complex; TTLK - trade, transport and logistics complex; TRK - tourist and recreational complex; SIK - social and innovative complex

Source: Dagestanstat, Ministry of Economy of the Republic of Dagestan, AV Analytics

Number of employees, persons.Production, mln.rub.Investments in fixed assets, mln.rub.TTLC91 88928%PC7 6472%APK52 12916%FEC11 8673%IC80 01824%SIC58 38618%TRK28 9979%TTLK30 23535%PC2 6363%APK6 5838%FEC3 0373%IC28 87233%SIC10 81912%TRK5 3436%TTLK195 90021%PC41 4004%APK270 90029%FEC10 0001%IC98 83111%SIC269 46929%TRK51 8005%Productivity, mln. rub./person Value added, mln. rub. Taxes, mln. rub.*0,4690,1850,1921,1870,8100,2170,560TTLCPCAPKTEKSKSICTRK0,00,51,01,5TTLK60 61129%PC3 7782%APK34 52716%FEC7 8024%IC51 50624%SIC38 99518%TRK14 0427%TTLK2 21317%PC4644%APK2 17516%FEC2 36818%IC1 45811%SIC4 41033%TRK1401%Number of employees, persons.Production, mln.rub.Investments in fixed assets, mln.rub.TTLC611 34436%PC209 38412%APK222 00513%FEC28 5652%IC258 36715%SIC256 56115%TRK125 1237%TTLK3 5294%PC1840%APK12 05915%FEC1 5092%IC34 68641%SIC22 12426%TRK9 99512%TTLK276 59522%PC117 1899%APK300 86524%FEC9 2541%IC149 29612%SIC322 72925%TRK90 4657%Productivity, mln. rub./person Value added, mln. rub. Taxes, mln. rub.*TTLK413 30739%PC108 29010%APK125 07812%FEC18 3292%IC158 33715%SIC174 03616%TRK62 5616%TTLK39 68732%PC19 56416%APK18 25114%FEC5 0624%IC15 68812%SIC17 25314%TRK10 5238%2,2101,7870,7383,0871,7310,7951,383TTLCPCAPKTEKSKSICTRK0,01,02,03,04,0 The implementation of the optimistic scenario of the strategy will ensure significant economic growth

Dynamics of basic economic indicators

Source: AV Analytics

IndicatorAbsolute increase (2008 -2025)Relative increase, when (2008-2025)Average annual growth rate (CAGR)GRP, million rubles.848 6785,09,95%The average annual number of employed in the economy, related to economic complexes, people.328 0931,31,78%Productivity, million rubles.0,9993,88,22%Average salary, thousand rubles.274,69,36%Tax deductions to budgets of all levels, million rubles.112 8117,912,96%211 260275 893411 745751 5071 059 938200820122015202020250,0500 000,01 000 000,01 500 000,0938 300987 6601 065 6801 173 5381 266 39320082012201520202025900 000,01 100 000,01 300 000,00,3530,4390,6301,0441,351200820122015202020250,00,51,01,57,69,815,125,334,8200820122015202020250,020,040,016 25119 33141 26784 966129 062200820122015202020250,050 000,0100 000,0150 000,0 The implementation of the optimistic scenario of the strategy will lead to a qualitative growth of the social sphere

Dynamics of basic social indicators

Source: AV Analytics

IndicatorAbsolute increase (2008 -2025)Relative increase, when (2008-2025)Average annual growth rate (CAGR)Provision of hospital beds (at 10 thousands of people.)30,41,42,19%Pre-school enrolment (%)24,61,93,72%Proportion of students in general education institutions 1- I'm on shift15,91,21,23%Total fertility rate (per cent 1000 population)1,71,10,52%Life expectancy at birth, years2,61,00,20%68,267,373,683,798,6200820122015202020250,050,0100,0150,028,628,437,246,653,2200820122015202020250,020,040,060,069,172,777,880,085,02008201220152020202550,070,090,018,319,519,719,820,02008201220152020202517,018,019,020,021,074,475,175,776,477,02008201220152020202572,074,076,078,0 Characteristics of economic development in the context of economic complexes

Gross regional product

Average annual employment

Source: AV Analytics

Average annual number of employees, persons.Structure of employeesTTLCPCAPKTEKSKSICTRK050 000100 000150 000200 000250 000300 000350 00020082012201520202025TTLCPCAPKTEKSKSICTRK0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%20082012201520202025GRP, mln rub.Structure of WRPTTLCPCAPKTEKSKSKKTRK050 000100 000150 000200 000250 000300 000350 000400 000450 00020082012201520202025TTLCPCAPKTEKSKSICTRK0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%20082012201520202025 Characteristics of economic development in the context of economic complexes

Tax deductions to budgets of all levels

Investments in fixed assets

Source: AV Analytics

Taxes, mln rub.Structure of taxesTTLCPCAPKTEKSKSKTRK05 00010 00015 00020 00025 00030 00035 00040 00045 00020082012201520202025TTLCPCAPKTEKSKSICTRK0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%20082012201520202025Investments in fixed assets, RUB mln Structure of investments in fixed assetsTTLKPKAPKTEKSKSKSICTRK05 00010 00015 00020 00025 00030 00035 00040 00045 00020082012201520202025TTLCPCAPKTEKSKSICTRK0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%20082012201520202025 Characteristics of economic development in the context of OKVED

Gross regional product

Section A Agriculture Section B Fisheries Section C Mining Section D Manufacturing Section E Electricity, Gas and Water Production and Distribution Section F Construction Section G Commerce Section H Hotels and Restaurants Section I Transport and Communications

Section J Financial activities Section K Real estate Section L Public administration Section M Education Section N Health care Section O Other services Section Q Activities of extraterritorial organizations

Source: AV Analytics

GRP, mln rub. Structure of GRPABCDEFGIKONMHL050 000100 000150 000200 000250 000300 000350 00020082012201520202025ABCDEFGOHNMKI0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%20082012201520202025 Level of budget allocation to 2025 G is down to 25%

Forecast of budget indicators of the Republic of Dagestan

Source: AV Analytics

* incl. sources of financing of budget deficitIncomes and expenditures of the consolidated budget, million rubles.The level of budget subsidies, %020 00040 00060 00080 000100 000120 000140 000160 00020082012201520202025Other income*Tax revenuesSubsidies of the federal budget77%70%53%35%25%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%20082012201520202025The Republic of Dagestan has a competitive position in the foreign and domestic markets in a number of areas

I priority

Second priority

Freight transportation (rail, auto, water, air,

Pipeline Transportation)

> Transportation and warehouse handling > Wholesale and retail trade > Financial sector > Production of cars and components (assembly)

production, followed by localization)

Production and repair of ships ? Production of aircraft and components ? Electrical equipment, radio electronics (assembly)

production, followed by localization)

? Livestock (KRS meat and dairy) ? Vegetables and fruit ? Fruit and vegetable cans and juices ? Vineyards, grape wine and cognac ? Meat processing

Construction services > Construction materials > Real estate and utilities > Electricity (production, transmission,

distribution)

? Beach and sea tourism ? Health and wellness tourism ? Scientific and educational tourism ? Education ? Health ? Research and development ? Communication and telecommunications

? Light industry (shoes, carpet weaving) ? Jewelry production ? Chemical industry

> Sheep > Poultry > Dairy products > Drinking and min. water and soft drinks > Bakery and confectionery > Fish farming > Mining of non-metallic minerals

Oil and gas (products) > Fuel and energy minerals

Mountain tourism > Sports and entertainment services

Complex

Trade, transport and logistics complex

Industrial complex

Agro-industrial complex

Construction complex

Fuel and Energy Complex

Tourist and recreational complex

Socio-innovative complex

Source: AV

Elements of the cluster "Caspian HAB"

A well-developed trade, transport and logistics complex based on

Developed industrial complex based on production

innovative products.

Developed agro-industrial complex based on production

environmentally friendly products.

A well-developed construction complex that ensures the development of all

economic complexes and improvement of living conditions, tourism and recreation.

- Developed fuel and energy complex, which provides a growing demand for energy resources, which determines a special place for alternative energy.

Source: AV

The cluster "Caspian HAB" is a synergy of a multifunctional hub formed at the intersection of the international transport corridors "East-West", "North-South" and industrial and innovative complexes.

Source: AV

Integration of the cluster "Caspian HAB" in the transport space of Russia will effectively realize the transit potential of MTK* "North-South" and create a competitive alternative to the Eurasian direction MTK* "West-East"

The most promising for the republic will be the development of transit traffic of the southern and southeastern directions of the North-South ITC, which reach the ports of Bender-Abas (Iran) and Aktau (Kazakhstan), as well as the development of a competitive alternative to the ITC TRACECA. In this case, the railway lines of the republic, the ICCP** and the ferry have a fairly good transit perspective.

Source: AV *International Transport Corridor , **Makhachkala Sea Trade Port

Competitiveness of Caspian HAB cluster flows

Comparative expert analysis of transport corridors

Transport corridors

Variant No1 "East - West" (China - Turkey)

Distance, km

Average tracking time, day

Average cost of transportation, thousand dollars.

20 ft. container

40 ft. container

Number of customs crossings

Time Factor

Price Factor

Partner factor/integration

Ball of 5

Final assessment (taking into account the weight of factors)

Notes

Dostyk (border crossing China-Kazakhstan - Aktau - Makhachkala - Novorossiysk - Istanbul)

5908

8,13

1375

2056

TRACECA (Dostyk - Tashkent - Baku - Batumi - Istanbul)

6091

8,38

1621

2423

Southern Trans-Asian Corridor (Dostyk - Almaty - Tashkent - Serax - Mashad - Tehran - Ankara - Istanbul)

5031

6,92

1171

1751

Variant No2 "East - West" (China - Ukraine)

Dostyk (border crossing China - Kazakhstan) - Aktau - Makhachkala - Rostov-on-Don - Kiev

Northern Trans-Asian Corridor (Dostyk - Chelyabinsk - Moscow - Kiev) Central Trans-Asian Corridor (Dostyk - Aktogay - Almaty - Volgograd - Kiev) Variant No3 "North - South" (India - Finland)

Bombay - Bander-Abas (for Indian cargo) - Amir-Abad - Makhachkala - Moscow - St. Petersburg - Helsinki

5848

8,04

1361

2035

5398

5769

7,43

7,94

1257

1343

1879

2008

6111

8,41

1423

2127

Bombay - Persian Gulf - Suez Canal - Odessa - Kiev - Moscow - St. Petersburg - Helsinki

10181

14,00

1980

3170

Bombay - Persian Gulf - Suez Canal - Gibraltar - Baltic Sea - St. Petersburg - Helsinki

14262

19,62

2025

3750

Variant No4 Alternative automobile corridors Aktau - Makhachkala - Buynaksk - Untsukul - Gotsatl - Tbilisi (Georgia) - Poti Border with Kazakhstan - Ozinki - Saratov - Borisoglebsk - Voronezh - Kursk - Krupets - the border of Ukraine

1002

1140

12,53

14,25

Zhatibai (Aktau) - Beineu - Kotyaivka - Astrakhan - Volgograd - Donetsk - Border of Ukraine

2032

25,40

Aktau - Makhachkala - Rostov-on-Don - Kiev

1267

15,84

4,30

The single customs union, the balance of trade margins for transport, port service, logistics and trade operations within the cluster "Caspian HAB" will reduce the through transit rate for transportation

3,60 Single preferential terms and tariffs, high

Capital intensity

4,40

Electrified 46% of all routes, technical barriers in Iran, ferry crossing in Turkey is required

4,30 Common Customs Union

4,40 Electrified 29% all ways 3,70 Shortest way from Asia to Central

Europe

5,00

2,70 Low delivery speed, high

Capital intensity

2,70 Low delivery speed, high

Capital intensity

2,70 Alternative TRACECA

2,10

1,80

2,70

Promotes the development of trade in transit regions, connects the regions, runs along the routes M29 and M4

Source: AV Analytics Note: weight of factors: time factor - 0,3, price factor - 0,4, partnership / integration factor - 0,3

Trade, transport and logistics framework

Scheme of objects of trade, transport and logistics complex

Source: Government of the Republic of Dagestan and AV

Trade, transport and logistics complex: redistribution and accumulation of international flows

* financial activity in the statistics of the Republic of Dagestan is not reflected

Source: AV Analytics

Volumes of financing (average annual) - regional budget, million rubles Volumes of financing (average annual) - extra-budgetary sources, million rubles Taxes in budgets of all levels, million rubles Labor productivity, million rubles Average annual number of employed in the economy, people Average salary, thousand rubles Production, million rubles Value added, million rubles Financing (average annual.050 000100 000150 000200 000250 000300 000350 00020082012201520202025TransportTransport and warehouse cargo handlingTradeFinancial activities050 000100 000150 000200 000250 000300 000350 00020082012201520202025TransportTransport and warehouse cargo handlingTradeFinancial activities020 00040 00060 00080 000100 000120 000140 000160 00020082012201520202025TransportTransport and warehouse cargo handlingTradeFinancial activities0,05,010,015,020,025,030,035,040,020082012201520202025TransportTransport and warehouse cargo handlingTradeFinancial activities05 00010 00015 00020 00025 00020082012201520202025TransportTransport and warehouse cargo handlingTradeFinancial activities0,0001,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,00020082012201520202025TransportTransport and warehouse cargo handlingTradeFinancial activities7 93120 75414 0331 34405 00010 00015 00020 00025 00030 00011-1213-1516-2021-25Federal budget2 0914 7104 00028505 00010 00015 00020 00025 00030 00011-1213-1516-2021-25Regional budget15 16226 4228 2425 39005 00010 00015 00020 00025 00030 00011-1213-1516-2021-25Extrabudgetary sources Industrial complex: development of mechanical engineering and production of electrical equipment, as well as the realization of the potential of crafts

Source: AV Analytics

Volumes of financing (average annual) - the federal budget, million rubles. Volumes of financing (average annual) - the regional budget, million rubles. Volumes of financing (average annual) - extra-budgetary sources, million rubles.Production, million rubles.Value added, million rubles.Taxes in budgets of all levels, million rubles.The average annual number of employed in the economy, people.The average salary, thousand rubles.020 00040 00060 00080 000100 000120 000140 00020082012201520202025Mechanical engineeringElectrical equipmentOther production010 00020 00030 00040 00050 00060 00070 00020082012201520202025Mechanical engineeringElectrical equipmentOther production010 00020 00030 00040 00050 00060 00020082012201520202025Mechanical engineeringElectrical equipmentOther production0,010,020,030,040,050,060,020082012201520202025Mechanical engineeringElectrical equipmentOther production02 0004 0006 0008 00010 00012 00014 00016 00020082012201520202025Mechanical engineeringElectrical equipmentOther production0,0000,5001,0001,5002,0002,5003,00020082012201520202025Mechanical engineeringElectrical equipmentOther production2 5808041010-4 0001 0006 00011 00016 00011-1213-1516-2021-25Federal budget183194195193-4 0001 0006 00011 00016 00011-1213-1516-2021-25Regional budget11 09014 6235 0283 04805 00010 00015 00020 00011-1213-1516-2021-25Extrabudgetary sources Agro-industrial complex: development of processing and promising areas of agriculture

Source: AV Analytics

Production output, million rubles Value added, million rubles Taxes in budgets of all levels, million rubles Labor productivity, million rubles Average wages, thousand rubles Average annual number of employed in the economy, people Amount of financing (average annual) - the federal budget, million rubles Amount of financing (average annual) - the regional budget, million rubles Amount of financing (average annual) - extra-budgetary.020 00040 00060 00080 000100 000120 000140 000160 000180 000200 00020082012201520202025Construction materialsConstructionMining (except thermal)Real estate and utilities020 00040 00060 00080 000100 000120 000140 00020082012201520202025Construction materialsConstructionMining (except thermal)Real estate and utilities010 00020 00030 00040 00050 00060 00070 00080 00090 00012345Construction materialsConstructionMining (except thermal)Real estate and utilities0,05,010,015,020,025,030,035,040,045,020082012201520202025Construction materialsConstructionMining (except thermal)Real estate and utilities01 0002 0003 0004 0005 0006 0007 0008 0009 00010 00020082012201520202025Construction materialsConstructionMining (except thermal)Real estate and utilities0,0000,5001,0001,5002,0002,50020082012201520202025Construction materialsConstructionMining (except thermal)Real estate and utilities1 6962 6401 4601 335010 00020 00030 00040 00050 00011-1213-1516-2021-25Federal budget1 9181 8671 2701 249010 00020 00030 00040 00050 00011-1213-1516-2021-25Regional budget34 47730 39236 49942 184010 00020 00030 00040 00050 00011-1213-1516-2021-25Extrabudgetary sources Integrated development of fuel and energy complex

Scheme of input of objects of fuel and energy complex

Source: Analysis of the Ministry of Economy of the Republic of Dagestan and AV

Electricity development is an important resource for economic growth

Forecast of electricity production and consumption

Source: AV Analytics

Production and consumption of electricity, million rubles Losses in networks, %02 0004 0006 0008 00010 00012 00020082012201520202025Electricity received from other regionsElectricity generatedElectricity consumed0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%20082012201520202025Fuel and energy complex: development of oil and gas processing and realization of energy potential

Source: AV Analytics

Volumes of financing (average annual) - the federal budget, million rubles. Volumes of financing (average annual) - the regional budget, million rubles. Volumes of financing (average annual) - extra-budgetary sources, million rubles.Production, million rubles.Value added, million rubles.Taxes in budgets of all levels, million rubles.The average annual number of employed in the economy, people.The average salary, thousand rubles.05 00010 00015 00020 00025 00020082012201520202025Fuel and energy mineralsOil and gas processingElectricity02 0004 0006 0008 00010 00012 00014 00016 00018 00020082012201520202025Fuel and energy mineralsOil and gas processingElectricity01 0002 0003 0004 0005 0006 0007 0008 00012345Fuel and energy mineralsOil and gas processingElectricity0,05,010,015,020,025,030,035,040,020082012201520202025Fuel and energy mineralsOil and gas processingElectricity05001 0001 5002 0002 5003 0003 50020082012201520202025Fuel and energy mineralsOil and gas processingElectricity0,0001,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,00020082012201520202025Fuel and energy mineralsOil and gas processingElectricity2 5531 93810010002 0004 0006 0008 00010 00012 00014 00011-1213-1516-2021-25Federal budget61138821021002 0004 0006 0008 00010 00012 00014 00011-1213-1516-2021-25Regional budget4 9274 57512 6199 14602 0004 0006 0008 00010 00012 00014 00011-1213-1516-2021-25The implementation of the system of measures in the trade, transport and logistics, industrial, agro-industrial and tourist and recreational complexes will give a significant contribution to the economy in the form of tax returns

Ratio of financing, taxes and value added by complexes

Source: AV Analytics

circle size - Growth of GRP, mln. rubles352 696PC104 512APK90 551FEC10 528IC106 831SIC135 042TRK48 52005 00010 00015 00020 00025 00030 00035 00040 00045 000010 00020 00030 00040 00050 00060 00070 000Increase in taxes, million rubles. Amount of financing (average annual 2011-2025 RM, million rubles The Republic of Dagestan is a competitive cluster "House of Peoples" - a comfortable place for life, work and creativity, recreation and sports

Elements of the "House of Peoples" cluster

A well-developed social and innovation complex based on

high-quality social services, knowledge and technology economy, developed innovation system.

Developed tourist and recreational complex (sea and mountain)

“Bet on growth” of the quality of human capital.

Source: AV

Territorial and economic zoning, potential nodes for placing objects of socio-economic development

Number on the map

Name of municipal districts and urban districts

Name of administrative centres

Number on the map

Name of municipal districts and urban districts

Name of administrative centres

1 2 3 4 5

7 8 9

c. Tpig p. Akusha p. Karata p. Akhta

Aghul Akushinsky Akhvah Akhtyn Babayurtovsky p. Babayurt Bezhtinsky District Botlikhsky Buynaksky Gergebilsky p. Gergebil

c. Botlikh Mr. Buynaksk

c. Bezhta

26 Kayakentskiy 27 Kizilyurtskiy 28 Kizlyarskiy 29 Kulinsky 30 Kumtorkalinsky p. Korkmaskala

c. Novokayakent Kizilurt Kizlyar p. Vachi

31 Kurakhsky

c. Kurah

32 Laksky 33 Levashinsky 34 Magaramkentsky p. Magaramkent

c. Kumukh p. Levashi

Mr. Makhachkala

35 Novolaksky

c. Novolak

Mr. Buynaksk

Mr. Kizlyar

Mr. Kizilurt

Mr. Derbent

36 Nogai

37 Rutulsky

c. Tereckley-Meckteb p. Rutul

38 Sergokalinsky

c. Sergokala

Suleyman - Stalin

c. Kasumkent

Mr. Izberbash

40 Tabasaran

c. Khuchni

Mr. Khasavyurt

41 Tarumovsky

c. Tarumovka

Mr. Yuzhno Sukhokumsk Gumbetovsky Gunibsky

c. Mechelta p. Gunib

18 19 20 Dakhadaevsky p. Urqarah 21 Derbent Mr. Derbent 22 Dokusparin p. Usukhchai 23 Kazbekovsky p. Dylym 24 Kaitagsky p. Majalis p. Karabudakh - kent

Karabudahkents

42 Tlaratinsky

c. Tlyarat

43 Unzukulsky 44 Khasavyurtovsky 45 Khivsky 46 Hunzakh 47 Tsumadinsky 48 Tsuntinsky 49 Charodinsky

c. Unzukul Mr. Hasavyurt p. Heav p. Hunzah p. Agwali p. Kidero p. Tsurib

50 Shamilsky

c. Hebda

Source: Analysis of the Ministry of Economy of the Republic of Dagestan and AV

Caspian agglomeration Favorable economic and geographical location Makhachkala and Mr. Derbent at the intersections of major transport routes (North-South, West-East) is of paramount importance for the development and formation of them as centers of future agglomeration.

Source: Analysis of the Ministry of Economy of the Republic of Dagestan and AV

Social and innovation complex: emphasis on high human potential and innovation development

Source: AV Analytics

Volumes of financing (average annual) - the federal budget, million rubles. Volumes of financing (average annual) - the regional budget, million rubles. Volumes of financing (average annual) - extra-budgetary sources, million rubles.Production, million rubles.Value added, million rubles.Taxes in budgets of all levels, million rubles.The average annual number of employed in the economy, people.The average salary, thousand rubles.010 00020 00030 00040 00050 00060 00070 00080 00020082012201520202025EducationHealthcareState management, security and social insuranceCommunicationsNIROther services05 00010 00015 00020 00025 00030 00035 00040 00045 00050 00020082012201520202025EducationHealthcareState management, security and social insuranceCommunicationsNIROther services020 00040 00060 00080 000100 000120 000140 00020082012201520202025EducationHealthcareState management, security and social insuranceCommunicationsNIROther services0,010,020,030,040,050,060,020082012201520202025EducationHealthcareState management, security and social insuranceCommunicationsNIROther services05001 0001 5002 0002 5003 0003 5004 0004 5005 00020082012201520202025EducationHealthcareState management, security and social insuranceCommunicationsNIROther services0,0000,5001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,50020082012201520202025EducationHealthcareState management, security and social insuranceCommunicationsNIROther services12 13417 12218 86821 61605 00010 00015 00020 00025 00030 00011-1213-1516-2021-25Extrabudgetary11 29414 40314 04417 36705 00010 00015 00020 00025 00030 00011-1213-1516-2021-25Regional budget13 23019 63320 58829 68905 00010 00015 00020 00025 00030 00011-1213-1516-2021-25Federal budget of the Republic of Dagestan has significant potential for tourism and recreation development

Scheme of tourist and recreational zoning of the Republic of Dagestan

The development of the tourism and recreation complex involves the solution of a set of tasks affecting both structural transformations and systemic processes in the tourism and recreation sector:

- development of beach and sea tourism;

development of health tourism;

development of mountain tourism;

development of scientific and educational tourism;

Development of the sports and entertainment industry.

The solution of these problems is possible only with an integrated approach in which all spheres of social and economic life of society will participate:

staffing of the industry;

creation of infrastructure in the tourist and recreational complex due to the development of small business;

solution of tourist safety problems;

development of balneological base;

Attracting tourists to spectacular events is due to the level of development of sports and culture.

Source: Analysis of the Ministry of Economy and Tourism Agency of the Republic of Dagestan, AV

Tourist and recreational complex: realization of tourist and natural recreational potential

Source: AV Analytics

Volumes of financing (average annual) - the federal budget, million rubles. Volumes of financing (average annual) - the regional budget, million rubles. Volumes of financing (average annual) - extra-budgetary sources, million rubles.Production, million rubles.Value added, million rubles.Taxes in budgets of all levels, million rubles.The average annual number of employed in the economy, people.The average salary, thousand rubles.010 00020 00030 00040 00050 00060 00070 00080 00090 00020082012201520202025Services of hotels and catering servicesServices of travel agenciesServices for the organization of recreation and entertainment, culture and sports05 00010 00015 00020 00025 00030 00035 00040 00020082012201520202025Services of hotels and catering servicesServices of travel agenciesServices for the organization of recreation and entertainment, culture and sports010 00020 00030 00040 00050 00060 00012345Services of hotels and catering servicesServices of travel agenciesServices for the organization of recreation and entertainment, culture and sports0,05,010,015,020,025,030,035,040,020082012201520202025Services of hotels and catering servicesServices of travel agenciesServices for the organization of recreation and entertainment, culture and sports01 0002 0003 0004 0005 0006 0007 0008 00020082012201520202025Services of hotels and catering servicesServices of travel agenciesServices for the organization of recreation and entertainment, culture and sports0,0000,5001,0001,5002,0002,50020082012201520202025Services of hotels and catering servicesServices of travel agenciesServices for the organization of recreation and entertainment, culture and sports14 30818 17911 94415 25305 00010 00015 00020 00011-1213-1516-2021-25Extrabudgetary58349124822405 00010 00015 00020 00011-1213-1516-2021-25Regional budget3 3322 01591005 00010 00015 00020 00011-1213-1516-2021-25Trade, transport and logistics, social and innovative, construction and industrial complexes will become the basis of social development of the republic

Ratio of employment, productivity and average wages

Source: AV Analytics

size of the circle - Average salary, ths rubles29,0PC35,3APK16,4FEC34,6IC31,6SIC35,2TRK27,80,0000,5001,0001,5002,0002,500050 000100 000150 000200 000250 000300 000350 000400 000Productivity, million rubles/person Average annual number of employees in 2025 G., man. The Strategy monitoring process is an integral part of the strategy

The Strategy Monitoring Process

Objectives and objectives of the Strategy

Measures necessary to achieve the objectives

Expected results of the Strategy

System of indicators and benchmarks for assessing the implementation of the Strategy

Determination of the responsible performers and terms of monitoring

Identification of research objects (list of enterprises, processes, etc.)

Information processing (comparison with the expected results of the Strategy and the results of monitoring of past years)

Preparation and approval of the report

Adjustment of the Strategy

i and g e t t t t t S

and e t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t t

Source: AV

Indicators

Indicator

2008

2012

2015

2020

2025

Volume of cargo transportation, million tons of cargo turnover of the ICCP, million tons of grain production, thousand tons of production of vegetables and potatoes, thousand tons of fruit production, thousand tons of grape production, thousand tons of livestock and poultry production (in live weight), thousand tons of egg production, thousand tons of eggs. Production of milk, thousand tons Production of bread and bakery products, thousand tons Production of meat and meat products, sausage products, thousand tons Production of fruit and vegetable canned food, mubs. Production of whole-milk products, thousand tons Production of canteen wine, champagne and sparkling wine, thousand dkl Input of housing, thousand sq.m Input of social housing, thousand sq.m Housing security, sq.m per person The share of emergency housing in the housing stock (of the total area of the housing stock), % Installed power generation capacity, MW Production of petroleum products, million tons Production of liquefied natural gas, million cubic meters Increase in electricity savings in physical terms, million kW*h Electricity losses in networks Total fertility rate (persons per year 1000 Infant mortality by major class of cause of death (persons 10 Number of doctors in public health institutions (thousands of people born alive 10 thousands of people.)

Number of medical staff in public health institutions (10 thousand people) Provision of hospital beds (10 thousand people)

Capacity of outpatient and polyclinic institutions (number of visits per shift by 10 thousand people)

126,7 6,4 281,6 1204,4 96,6 89,5 154,7 199,4 525,5 205,3 6,4 34,0 18,6 2 130 907 0 16,5 2,70 1 828 0,1 0 0 32% 18,30 13,00

39,90

83,70

157,1 8,5 340,2 1133,8 104,9 120,6 169,8 300,0 620,0 221,2 19,0 69,0 22,0 3 738 1 280 433 16,9 2,27 1 828 0,2 0 650 31% 19,50 14,00

40,00

84,50

223,0 15,0 375,2 1261,9 124,6 253,6 187,8 400,0 790,0 268,8 41,2 419,0 56,2 5 993 1 740 388 18,0 1,75 2 352 0,9 280 1545 27% 19,70 13,30

42,10

89,50

312,7 50,0 451,2 1761,0 191,9 555,4 233,5 512,0 847,6 332,2 58,0 706,5 74,2 7 428 2 913 880 21,6 1,23 3 168 3,0 280 2702 22% 19,80 12,20

47,20

96,80

438,6 60,0 556,5 2422,1 335,9 698,4 299,6 708,6 939,7 405,0 80,7 856,0 78,4 8 546 3 764 1 129 26,8 0,71 4 892 3,0 280 3591 17% 20,00 10,80

52,00

104,40

68,20

67,26

73,60

83,68

98,60

117,40

121,68

128,45

156,07

189,84

Indicators

Indicator

2008

2012

2015

2020

2025

Provision of the population with indoor sports facilities (sq.m. on 10 thousands of people) Provision of the population with flat sports facilities (sq.m. on 10 Proportion of population engaged in physical education and sports (%) Pre-school enrolment (%) Proportion of students in general education institutions engaged in 1Proportion of children with disabilities who receive education using distance educational technologies, of the total number of children with disabilities studying at home (%) Number of student places (thousand places) The level of involvement of young people in social practice, % Proportion of the population participating in cultural and leisure events held by state (municipal) cultural organizations Number of copies of the library fund of public libraries 1 Volume of discharge of waste water (million cubic meters) Emissions of pollutants into the atmospheric air (thousand tons) Share of enterprises implementing technological innovations (%) Share of the Republic of Dagestan in the Russian market of high-tech goods and services (%) Share of exports of high-tech goods of the Republic of Dagestan in the total volume of exports of high-tech goods of the Russian Federation (%) Share of innovative products in the total volume of industrial products. Beach and sea tourism, thousands of people. Health tourism, thousands of people. Mountain tourism, thousands of people. Scientific and educational, thousands of people. Number of places, thousand beds Number of festivals, pcs. Number of exhibitions, pcs.

0,90

5,75

7,60 28,60 69,10

1,02

1,06

1,24

1,37

8,70

10,80

13,10

15,10

9,00 28,40 72,70

12,00 37,22 77,80

16,00 46,58 80,00

20,00 53,23 85,00

n/a

35,40

99,90

392

n/a

33,00

393 18,00 35,50

398 20,00 38,00

417 25,00 40,00

439 37,00 45,00

3026

3116

3120

3150

3200

74,98 19,30 8,30 0,00

0,00

0,40

198 100 31 55 12 27 3 1

70,20 18,10 15,00 0,50

50,00 15,00 25,00 3,00

30,00 5,00 35,00 5,00

10,00 1,50 45,00 7,00

0,30

0,70

0,80

1,00

4,00

17,00

20,00

25,00

246 106 33 85 22 29 3 3

664 204 59 319 82 45 5 5

1396 641 203 385 167 84 5 5

2254 1193 404 445 212 132 7 7

strategija-rd-2025-Dagestan